Crewe Alexandra vs Milton Keynes Dons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
CRE
58%
22%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 1
CRE
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
3 - 1
GIL
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 1
PNE
23%
28%
50%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 2
CRE
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
SCU
1 - 1
MKD
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MKD
2 - 0
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MKD
1 - 0
SHE
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +3 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 2
MKD
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 1
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |