Crewe Alexandra vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 3
SWI
27%
26%
46%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WIG
1 - 0
CRE
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CRE
3 - 3
BCF
30%
29%
42%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
COV
3 - 2
CRE
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SCU
2 - 0
CRE
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 0
POS
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 2
CHE
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SCU
0 - 0
MIL
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 3
BAR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 4
COV
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |