Crewe Alexandra vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
CRE
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CRE
6 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 1
BPO
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 3
CRE
35%
23%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
CRE
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
OXF
0 - 2
FLE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FLE
0 - 1
AFC
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 2
FLE
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 3
FLE
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
FLE
4 - 1
SAM
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |