Crewe Alexandra vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PNE
1 - 3
CRE
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 1
DON
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CRE
0 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CRE
2 - 0
CRA
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
SHE
3 - 3
CRE
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
BCF
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BCF
0 - 2
LEY
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 1
SOU
34%
25%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BCF
2 - 2
BOU
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
SCU
1 - 2
BCF
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |