Cretense vs Mazaleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cretense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
CRE
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CRE
2 - 2
PRO
48%
23%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TER
5 - 0
CRE
78%
14%
8%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CRE
0 - 4
QUI
11%
19%
70%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CFL
2 - 1
CRE
70%
18%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mazaleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAZ
0 - 4
VAL
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
6 - 1
MAZ
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAZ
3 - 0
CAL
20%
21%
59%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
5 - 0
MAZ
77%
14%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAZ
1 - 2
ESC
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |