Creteil vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
REI
0 - 0
LUS
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCL
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
MET
2 - 0
LUS
60%
25%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
LUS
1 - 0
IST
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BRE
4 - 1
LUS
42%
28%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 0
GUI
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
TOU
0 - 3
BAS
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 2
CHA
50%
25%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2006 |
AMI
1 - 0
BAS
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 1
NIO
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |