CRB vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
FLU
0 - 1
CRB
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
CRB
1 - 1
SAL
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 1
CRB
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
CRB
0 - 1
FOR
37%
25%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
CON
0 - 1
CRB
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
CON
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
TRE
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
POT
0 - 1
SAN
33%
26%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSA
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |