CRB vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CRB
0 - 1
CSA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IPA
1 - 2
CRB
24%
24%
53%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CRB
1 - 0
ATA
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
COR
1 - 2
CRB
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
CRB
0 - 1
COR
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 2
FOR
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
CRA
79%
14%
8%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 3
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
HOR
64%
19%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |