CRB vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1973 |
CRB
0 - 1
SAO
19%
22%
59%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
CRB
0 - 1
AMF
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
CRB
2 - 5
FLA
34%
31%
35%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
CRB
0 - 0
VAS
34%
31%
36%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
CRB
0 - 0
AMF
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1973 |
FOR
1 - 1
BAH
41%
26%
32%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
BAH
1 - 1
SAO
36%
25%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
BAH
2 - 3
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
COR
3 - 1
BAH
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1972 |
PAL
4 - 1
BAH
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |