CRB vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 3
CRB
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
CRB
4 - 1
AVA
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 2
CRB
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2004 |
CRB
2 - 2
CAX
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2004 |
BAH
3 - 1
CRB
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
CEA
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
CEA
2 - 0
SAO
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2004 |
CAX
2 - 1
CEA
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2004 |
CEA
0 - 0
AVA
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 2
CEA
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |