CRB vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 1
CRB
33%
26%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
CRB
1 - 0
GAM
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
CRB
1 - 2
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 2
CRB
50%
24%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
CRB
2 - 0
AVA
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
POR
4 - 1
AVA
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 0
POR
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
PAL
4 - 3
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2003 |
MOG
2 - 1
POR
16%
25%
60%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
POR
2 - 1
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |