Crawley Town vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
MKD
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 1
CRA
24%
28%
49%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
BCF
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
CRA
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
CRA
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
CUM
3 - 1
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
OLD
2 - 0
LEY
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 1
OLD
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
OLD
3 - 1
PNE
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
CRE
0 - 2
OLD
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |