Crawley Town vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
5 - 2
HAY
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 2
CRA
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
KID
0 - 0
CRA
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
5 - 0
HIS
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 2
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 2
KID
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GRI
2 - 1
AFC
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
HAY
0 - 0
AFC
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AFC
4 - 1
ALT
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 1
WRE
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |