Crawley Down Gatwick vs Newhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
61.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Down Gatwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
AUC
3 - 6
CRA
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
EAS
0 - 1
CRA
58%
20%
23%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
PEA
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 0
LCO
39%
22%
39%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LOX
1 - 3
CRA
8%
12%
80%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Newhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 3
PEA
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
AUC
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 4
NEW
7%
13%
80%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BEX
0 - 0
NEW
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
HOR
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |