Crawley Down Gatwick vs Alfold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Down Gatwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CRA
2 - 2
VAR
76%
14%
11%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
3 - 0
CRA
77%
14%
10%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRA
32%
21%
47%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CRA
5 - 2
PAG
36%
22%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 3
HAS
77%
13%
10%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alfold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 0
TOW
10%
15%
76%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 2
ALF
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 3
LCO
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 0
ALF
62%
18%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
ALF
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |