Crato vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
TIR
3 - 2
CRA
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 0
CRA
75%
16%
8%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
CRA
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
ICA
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
QUI
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 1
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
GUA
30%
26%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
ARA
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |