Crato vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 2
LIM
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 0
CRA
78%
16%
6%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 3
HOR
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
CRA
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 5
TIR
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 3
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
FOR
29%
24%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 4
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
CEA
16%
21%
64%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | +1 |