CRAC vs Santa Helena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
5 - 2
CRA
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
APA
2 - 2
CRA
34%
24%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 1
GOI
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 4
ATL
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TRI
3 - 4
CRA
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Helena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
33%
24%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
ANA
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 6
GOI
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
USC
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TRI
0 - 1
SAN
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |