CRAC vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 0
CRA
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
CRA
2 - 0
CEC
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
MIN
3 - 2
CRA
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CRA
3 - 2
VIL
30%
24%
47%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CRA
2 - 3
CAN
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
CEC
0 - 0
CEI
63%
22%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
CEI
0 - 1
ATL
17%
25%
58%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CEI
4 - 2
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CEI
0 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
GAM
3 - 2
CEI
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |