CRAC vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
CRA
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
CRA
2 - 1
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
JAT
1 - 1
CRA
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
GOI
3 - 0
CRA
89%
8%
3%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 0
APA
31%
25%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ANA
3 - 0
ANA
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 2
ANA
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ANA
2 - 2
MIN
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
ANA
0 - 0
ITU
40%
25%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
TRI
0 - 1
ANA
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |