CRAC vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 3
CRA
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 3
CRA
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CRA
1 - 2
BRA
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
CRA
4 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
BAH
1 - 0
CRA
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ABC
4 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 1
ABC
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ABC
4 - 3
BAH
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
ABC
1 - 1
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 0
ABC
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |