Recreativo da Caála vs Progresso da Lunda Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
28.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo da Caála
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ADL
2 - 2
CRD
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CRD
0 - 0
CUA
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
PRI
1 - 0
CRD
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CRD
0 - 1
BEN
39%
31%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
1 - 1
CRD
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso da Lunda Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 1
PLS
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PLS
1 - 0
ADL
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CUA
1 - 0
PLS
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PLS
1 - 0
PRI
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
PLS
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |