Amanecer vs Chinato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CPA
0 - 1
CPA
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CPT
1 - 1
CPA
19%
22%
59%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CPA
7 - 0
CDC
49%
23%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CDC
0 - 1
CPA
38%
24%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CPA
1 - 4
ADV
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chinato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
ADC
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CPA
3 - 0
CHI
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 2
CPS
20%
23%
58%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CPT
2 - 4
CHI
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
MOR
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |