Challenge Cup 1/64

Cowdenbeath vs Kilmarnock II analysis

Cowdenbeath Kilmarnock II
42 ELO 34
-10% Tilt -14.6%
5676º General ELO ranking 8773º
66º Country ELO ranking 87º
ELO win probability
47%
Cowdenbeath
22.2%
Draw
30.8%
Kilmarnock II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30.8%
Win probability
Kilmarnock II
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Cowdenbeath
Kilmarnock II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2024
CWB
Cowdenbeath
2 - 2
Tranent Juniors FC
TRA
19%
22%
60%
41 50 9 0
13 Jul. 2024
CWB
Cowdenbeath
2 - 3
Dunbar United
DUN
52%
22%
26%
41 31 10 0
20 Apr. 2024
CBF
Caledonian Braves
3 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
55%
24%
21%
42 44 2 -1
13 Apr. 2024
CWB
Cowdenbeath
2 - 1
Gretna 2008
GRE
78%
14%
8%
41 20 21 +1
06 Apr. 2024
CUM
Cumbernauld Colts
4 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
62%
21%
16%
42 48 6 -1

Matches

Kilmarnock II
Kilmarnock II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 2023
KIL
Kilmarnock II
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
16%
18%
66%
34 50 16 0
01 Aug. 2023
KIL
Kilmarnock II
3 - 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
BRA
15%
19%
66%
28 48 20 +6
24 Sep. 2022
MON
Montrose
4 - 2
Kilmarnock II
KIL
83%
12%
5%
28 57 29 0
23 Aug. 2022
KIL
Kilmarnock II
5 - 2
East Stirlingshire
THE
12%
15%
74%
23 42 19 +5
09 Aug. 2022
KIL
Kilmarnock II
3 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
16%
20%
65%
18 39 21 +5