Scottish Championship round 4

Cowdenbeath vs Dumbarton analysis

Cowdenbeath Dumbarton
53 ELO 55
17% Tilt 3.8%
5700º General ELO ranking 3921º
64º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
43.4%
Cowdenbeath
23.5%
Draw
33.2%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.2%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cowdenbeath
+2%
-9%
Dumbarton

ELO progression

Cowdenbeath
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2013
PAR
Partick Thistle
3 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
71%
18%
11%
53 72 19 0
24 Aug. 2013
ALL
Alloa Athletic
3 - 1
Cowdenbeath
CWB
58%
22%
20%
54 58 4 -1
17 Aug. 2013
CWB
Cowdenbeath
3 - 4
Raith Rovers
RAI
48%
24%
28%
55 58 3 -1
10 Aug. 2013
GRE
Greenock Morton
2 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
62%
21%
16%
56 61 5 -1
03 Aug. 2013
BER
Berwick Rangers
0 - 5
Cowdenbeath
CWB
31%
24%
44%
56 47 9 0

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2013
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 3
Dundee United
DUN
20%
21%
59%
56 76 20 0
24 Aug. 2013
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
35%
25%
40%
55 61 6 +1
17 Aug. 2013
HAM
Hamilton Academical
4 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
56%
23%
21%
56 63 7 -1
10 Aug. 2013
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
37%
26%
38%
56 63 7 0
03 Aug. 2013
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
77%
15%
9%
57 39 18 -1