Cowdenbeath vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ALL
2 - 1
CWB
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
CWB
2 - 2
STI
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
STR
1 - 0
CWB
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 1
CWB
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CWB
1 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
AYR
0 - 0
STI
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
AYR
1 - 0
RAI
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 2
AYR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ALL
0 - 1
AYR
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
CLY
1 - 0
AYR
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |