Cowdenbeath vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 3
CWB
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CWB
0 - 0
DUM
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BON
0 - 3
CWB
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CWB
2 - 0
STE
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
EAS
1 - 3
CWB
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 1
BRE
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 3
ARB
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
KEI
0 - 1
ARB
13%
18%
69%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
STI
0 - 1
ARB
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ARB
4 - 3
DUM
66%
19%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |