Coventry City vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
COV
1 - 1
OPA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
COL
1 - 3
COV
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 5
COV
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
COV
1 - 2
SCU
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
COV
3 - 1
CRA
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 1
AFC
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 0
MOR
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GIL
2 - 1
MOR
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 1
MOR
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
4 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |