Second Division round 23

Cove Rangers vs Arbroath analysis

Cove Rangers Arbroath
63 ELO 59
9.6% Tilt 12.9%
2342º General ELO ranking 2502º
26º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
52%
Cove Rangers
23.7%
Draw
24.3%
Arbroath

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
Cove Rangers
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.3%
Win probability
Arbroath
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cove Rangers
+23%
+23%
Arbroath

Points and table prediction

Cove Rangers
Their league position
Arbroath
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
10º
64
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Arbroath
64
64
100%
Inverness CT
43
58
100%
Cove Rangers
57
57
100%
Queen of the South
55
55
100%
Stenhousemuir
53
53
100%
Alloa Athletic
51
51
100%
Kelty Hearts
44
44
100%
Montrose
40
40
100%
Annan Athletic
36
36
100%
Dumbarton
10º
20
35
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cove Rangers
Arbroath
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cove Rangers
Arbroath
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2025
STE
Stenhousemuir
0 - 4
Cove Rangers
COV
34%
26%
40%
61 59 2 0
18 Jan. 2025
COV
Cove Rangers
2 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
77%
15%
8%
60 48 12 +1
04 Jan. 2025
QOS
Queen of the South
1 - 0
Cove Rangers
COV
32%
25%
43%
61 57 4 -1
28 Dec. 2024
ICT
Inverness CT
1 - 4
Cove Rangers
COV
45%
26%
29%
60 64 4 +1
21 Dec. 2024
COV
Cove Rangers
2 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
36%
25%
39%
58 62 4 +2

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2025
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 3
Alloa Athletic
ALL
38%
26%
36%
60 61 1 0
28 Dec. 2024
ARB
Arbroath
3 - 0
Montrose
MON
43%
27%
30%
59 59 0 +1
21 Dec. 2024
BLA
Annan Athletic
0 - 4
Arbroath
ARB
40%
25%
36%
58 54 4 +1
17 Dec. 2024
KHE
Kelty Hearts
3 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
36%
27%
37%
58 56 2 0
14 Dec. 2024
ICT
Inverness CT
0 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
52%
26%
22%
57 64 7 +1