CD Covadonga vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 0
COV
32%
26%
42%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
COV
1 - 0
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAU
2 - 0
COV
75%
18%
8%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COV
1 - 0
URR
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 2
COV
42%
26%
33%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AST
1 - 0
MAR
13%
23%
65%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
URR
3 - 1
AST
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AST
1 - 2
CON
15%
23%
62%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
AST
72%
18%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
AST
1 - 5
UPL
7%
17%
76%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | -1 |