Coutada vs Lourinhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coutada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TOJ
2 - 0
COU
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
COU
2 - 0
LOU
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAC
1 - 1
COU
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COU
1 - 0
POV
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PER
2 - 4
COU
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
REA
1 - 0
LOU
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 1
TOJ
60%
21%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 2
LOU
48%
24%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
CAC
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
POV
1 - 1
LOU
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |