Costa Rica vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BLZ
0 - 3
CRI
8%
17%
76%
|
87 | 50 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CRI
0 - 0
SLV
79%
15%
7%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
CRI
4 - 0
USA
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TTO
0 - 2
CRI
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RUS
3 - 4
CRI
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2017 |
PAN
2 - 1
NIC
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
HND
2 - 1
NIC
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 3
TTO
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
TTO
21%
22%
57%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 0
KNA
44%
23%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |