Costa do Sol vs Ferroviário Nacala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
COS
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
COS
1 - 0
LIG
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
COS
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
COS
1 - 1
FCC
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
HCB
1 - 1
COS
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
HCB
33%
30%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UPM
0 - 1
FEN
44%
30%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
DES
47%
29%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
IDX
1 - 0
FEN
41%
30%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 0
SCN
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |