Costa Ayala vs CD Ingenio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
12%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SNI
3 - 1
COS
41%
21%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
COS
0 - 0
BLP
48%
22%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LOM
1 - 1
COS
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
COS
3 - 3
TAH
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
STI
0 - 2
COS
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ingenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ING
1 - 1
PDS
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
ING
1 - 1
BEC
25%
24%
51%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SNI
2 - 1
ING
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ING
0 - 1
BLP
25%
22%
54%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LOM
0 - 0
ING
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |