Costa Ayala vs Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
SNI
1 - 1
COS
59%
19%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
COS
3 - 0
ATA
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 5
COS
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
COS
1 - 0
IPI
26%
20%
54%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ARU
1 - 0
COS
25%
21%
55%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 3
SIS
14%
17%
69%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
ART
1 - 1
CAS
54%
21%
26%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 5
UCB
27%
20%
53%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
SAU
1 - 0
CAS
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAR
52%
20%
27%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |