Cosmos vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
COS
21%
23%
57%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
5 - 2
COS
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
COS
0 - 3
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
54%
23%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
FAE
2 - 1
COS
39%
25%
37%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 2
VIR
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
TFI
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 4
VIR
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
CAI
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |