Cosmos vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
COS
0 - 3
TPE
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
COS
1 - 7
VIR
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SGI
2 - 0
COS
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
COS
0 - 6
LIB
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
COS
0 - 3
JUV
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
SGI
0 - 2
PEN
15%
22%
64%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
FAE
1 - 2
PEN
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 1
PEN
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 1
DOM
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
FIO
1 - 2
PEN
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |