Cosmos vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COS
3 - 0
VIR
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 5
COS
13%
21%
66%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
COS
4 - 0
SMA
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 22 | 41 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 4
COS
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
TPE
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 0
TFI
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 0
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
4 - 1
JUV
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
MUR
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
5 - 0
PEN
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |