Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Nocerina analysis


40	ELO	43
2.6%	Tilt	1.7%
7254º	General ELO ranking	2971º
283º	Country ELO ranking	105º
ELO win probability

42.1%

Sarrabus Ogliastra

25.1%

Draw

32.8%

Nocerina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

42.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%

25.1%

Draw

0-0

6.1%

1-1

11.9%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

25.1%

32.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-7%

+98%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

9º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

46

1º

10º

9º

62

2º

10º

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

2º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	76	76	1º	100%
2º	62	62	2º	100%
3º	61	61	3º	100%
4º	60	60	4º	100%
5º	58	58	5º	100%
6º	50	53	6º	100%
7º	47	47	7º	100%
8º	46	46	8º	89%
9º	46	46	9º	89%
10º	44	44	10º	100%
13º	36	39	11º	100%
11º	38	38	12º	100%
12º	37	37	13º	89%
14º	35	35	14º	71.5%
15º	34	34	15º	71.5%
16º	34	34	16º	71.5%
17º	29	29	17º	100%
18º	26	26	18º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Promotion play-offs	0%	100%
Mid-table	100%	0%
Relegation play-offs	0%	0%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sarrabus Ogliastra

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 Oct. 2023	OST 3 - 4 CSO 49% 25% 25%	38	46	8	0
08 Oct. 2023	CSO 3 - 2 TRA 29% 24% 47%	36	46	10	+2
01 Oct. 2023	GLA 1 - 1 CSO 42% 23% 35%	35	37	2	+1
24 Sep. 2023	CSO 2 - 2 ISC 40% 22% 38%	35	38	3	0
17 Sep. 2023	ULD 4 - 2 CSO 34% 23% 43%	36	33	3	-1

Matches

Nocerina

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 Oct. 2023	NOC 1 - 0 BUD 84% 11% 5%	44	24	20	0
08 Oct. 2023	FLA 1 - 1 NOC 43% 27% 31%	44	43	1	0
01 Oct. 2023	NOC 2 - 2 TNF 60% 22% 18%	44	39	5	0
24 Sep. 2023	OST 0 - 1 NOC 45% 27% 28%	42	45	3	+2
17 Sep. 2023	GLA 0 - 2 NOC 34% 26% 40%	41	38	3	+1