Coruripe vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAP
0 - 0
COR
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
3 - 1
COR
54%
25%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
COR
4 - 2
COR
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
CSA
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
IPA
3 - 0
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
IPA
1 - 0
CSA
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
CAP
0 - 1
IPA
18%
21%
62%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
IPA
0 - 0
COR
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
IPA
3 - 0
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
CSA
2 - 2
IPA
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |