Coruripe vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
69.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 2
CSA
35%
28%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 1
COR
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 1
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 2
COR
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 2
FLA
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
VOL
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
MAD
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |