Coruchense vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+187%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coruchense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
COR
9%
16%
74%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FAZ
1 - 1
COR
27%
23%
51%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
COR
3 - 1
MAC
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
USA
1 - 3
COR
10%
17%
73%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
RMA
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
UFT
1 - 1
MAC
85%
12%
4%
|
52 | 10 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
USA
0 - 2
UFT
10%
19%
72%
|
53 | 5 | 48 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UFT
2 - 0
RMA
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 9 | 45 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
UFT
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 10 | 45 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UFT
5 - 1
BAR
84%
12%
4%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | 0 |