Coruchense vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
10º
9º
48
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 63% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coruchense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 1
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
COR
0 - 2
TRO
16%
23%
61%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
UDR
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
COR
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
COR
4 - 1
PEN
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
SIN
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
USA
0 - 1
MAF
10%
19%
71%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
SAB
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
USA
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
USA
1 - 0
GAV
68%
18%
15%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |