Cork City vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
CAO
4 - 0
DRO
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
CAO
1 - 0
SHR
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2003 |
SHE
1 - 1
CAO
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2003 |
CAO
1 - 1
DER
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
CAO
0 - 2
SHE
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
BOH
1 - 2
STP
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
STP
3 - 0
DUB
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2003 |
STP
2 - 0
UCD
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
LON
1 - 1
STP
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
STP
3 - 2
SHR
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |