Cork City vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
MON
0 - 5
CAO
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
GAL
2 - 1
CAO
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1994 |
CAO
4 - 0
MON
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
CAO
2 - 0
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
CAO
1 - 1
SHR
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1994 |
STP
1 - 0
SHE
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
STP
5 - 0
SLR
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1994 |
SHE
0 - 2
STP
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
DER
0 - 3
STP
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
STP
1 - 1
ATH
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |