Q. Europa League First Round Final
Cork City vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
CAO
0 - 2
PNE
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
CAO
0 - 0
BOH
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
FIN
0 - 0
CAO
20%
25%
55%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
CAO
1 - 4
DER
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
SLR
1 - 1
CAO
22%
27%
51%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRO
27%
22%
51%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 0
RUM
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
JEU
1 - 1
PRO
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
RAC
5 - 0
PRO
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |