Coritiba vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
COT
2 - 0
SER
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
COT
0 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
COT
1 - 0
BAH
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
COT
0 - 0
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
COT
1 - 0
PAL
41%
24%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
VIT
0 - 0
AMF
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1972 |
CEA
0 - 0
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
VIT
1 - 0
SAN
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
VIT
0 - 3
PAL
34%
24%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1972 |
VIT
0 - 0
REM
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |