Coritiba vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
COT
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
CEN
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
COT
1 - 1
GRE
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
COT
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
COT
2 - 1
RIO
84%
13%
4%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
73%
17%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
MIX
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITU
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
SAN
15%
23%
63%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
MIX
0 - 0
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |