Coritiba vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 3
COT
13%
21%
66%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COT
2 - 0
CIA
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 2
COT
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COT
1 - 1
OPE
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LON
0 - 1
COT
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
ATP
30%
25%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
TCW
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
PAR
13%
22%
65%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
ACP
72%
17%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |