Coritiba vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
COT
34%
27%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
COT
3 - 1
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
COT
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
COT
3 - 0
CHA
56%
26%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 0
COT
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 3
ATM
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ATP
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRZ
32%
26%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 1
BAH
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FLU
3 - 3
CRZ
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |